Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 2 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 01:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 9 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 July 2026. The last comparable one was on 7 August 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 11 at 5:36PM MST until September 11 at 6:00PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ
An estimated 15,345 people live within 50 km of this point.
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 34.6217, -111.2880 |
| Nearest City | Payson (44 km) |
| Population Exposed | 15.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T00:36:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.d9c2c5551dfd8a30ece5ada501586fdf0a417874.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Coconino, AZ; Coconino, AZ; Gila, AZ |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 11 at 5:36PM MST until September 11 at 6:00PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ |
| Expires | 2026-09-11T18:00:00-07:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Flagstaff AZ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d9c2c5551dfd8a30ece5ada501586fdf0a417874.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8921b14db43536035b8ad29213963f8e0631b042.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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